Viral LLM Trading Paper Cited Wrong Buy-and-Hold Return, Audit Finds
A widely shared AI trading research paper, TradingAgents, claimed that a buy-and-hold strategy on Apple stock lost 5.23% over its evaluation window from June to November 2024. An independent audit found the actual return was a gain of approximately 9.12%, based on adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance. The discrepancy was flagged by a developer who built a public verification tool to reproduce and document such claims transparently. The auditor noted the paper has accumulated nearly 94,700 GitHub stars, making the error particularly consequential given its reach. The findings have been logged in a public ledger intended to provide reproducible, accountable reviews of quantitative claims in AI research.
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