UN Warns Warming Will Likely Exceed 1.5°C, Outlines Path Forward

A United Nations report concludes that the world will probably overshoot the 1.5°C warming target set under the Paris Agreement. Under the best-case scenario, temperatures would peak around 1.8°C before coming back down. Achieving that outcome would depend on removing large volumes of carbon from the atmosphere. The report frames this as a question of what must happen next rather than whether the target is still attainable without overshoot. The article draws on the UN's assessment of the emissions trajectory and the options available to policymakers.