Why Deep Experts Often Express More Doubt Than Confident Novices
A Substack essay explores the paradox that highly knowledgeable people tend to express more uncertainty than those with limited expertise. The phenomenon, sometimes linked to the Dunning-Kruger effect, suggests that deeper understanding reveals the complexity and limits of a subject. Experts become more aware of what they do not know, leading them to hedge their statements rather than speak in absolutes. This contrasts with novices, who may lack the awareness to recognize gaps in their own knowledge. The piece invites readers to reconsider how they interpret confidence as a signal of competence.
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