UK Police Expand Secret Predictive Policing Tools to Flag High-Risk Individuals

British authorities have been developing algorithmic systems to identify individuals deemed likely to commit serious crimes before any offence occurs, with the College of Policing's V1000 proposal seeking to flag the 1,000 men in England and Wales most likely to commit predatory offences against women and girls. The scheme builds on London's existing V100 programme, launched in 2023, which ranks 100 men monthly by assessed risk and had contributed to over 200 convictions by autumn 2025. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood incorporated V1000 into a sweeping policing white paper unveiled in late January 2026. Separately, freedom-of-information documents published by Statewatch in April 2025 revealed the Ministry of Justice had quietly developed a Homicide Prediction Project, ingesting data on up to 500,000 people and using variables such as mental health history, disability and self-harm to model murder risk. Civil liberties groups have raised serious concerns about discrimination, lack of transparency, and the absence of any mechanism for individuals to challenge or even view their risk assessments.
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