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Tech Job Market Has Structurally Shifted Against Junior Developers, Data Shows

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US tech job postings have fallen 36% below pre-pandemic levels as of July 2025, according to Indeed Hiring Lab data, reversing the hiring boom of 2020–2021. Entry-level and mid-tier developer roles have been hit hardest, with software engineer postings down 49% and web developer postings down over 60% from 2020 peaks. The downturn followed a wave of mass layoffs at major tech firms, with over 950,000 workers cut since 2020 and 2023 marking the worst single year on record at 262,000 cuts. A tripling of developer supply between 2019 and 2024 — driven by bootcamps, online courses, and CS programs — has intensified competition, leaving newcomers competing against experienced, underemployed professionals. Industry observers argue that standard full-stack skills alone are no longer a differentiator in the current market.

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