Researchers Halve Estimated Timeline for Quantum Attack on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Crypto researchers have significantly revised downward their estimates for when quantum computers could threaten Bitcoin and Ethereum, cutting the projected timeline by 50%. A new paper shared with CoinDesk demonstrates that both humans and AI agents have outperformed Google's March benchmark on a key calculation central to Shor's algorithm. Shor's algorithm is the quantum method considered most capable of breaking the cryptographic protections securing major blockchain networks. The improved performance on this core computation adds fresh urgency to ongoing debates about how quickly the crypto industry must develop quantum-resistant defenses.
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