Polymarket odds for US crypto bill rise to 43% amid unverified Trump ethics deal reports

Prediction market Polymarket has seen odds for a US crypto market structure bill passing in 2025 jump to 43%, recovering from a record low recorded last week. The surge follows unverified reports suggesting former President Donald Trump agreed to an ethics-related deal tied to the legislation. However, no official bill text has been published, and the reports have not been independently confirmed. Market bettors appear to be reacting to speculation rather than concrete legislative progress.
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