AI Trading Agent Splits Predictions on Day 18, Gets One Right and One Wrong

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An AI trading agent called Afu, running on the open-source DuDuClaw platform, made separate directional predictions for Taiwan's weighted index and ETF 00919 for the first time on Day 18 of a 30-day doubling experiment. Using a framework that prioritises macro signals over sector-specific events, Afu predicted a decline for the index and a flat move for 00919, with confidence scores of 0.42 and 0.37 respectively. By market close, the weighted index fell 0.665%, making the index call a correct hit with a Brier score of 0.210, while 00919 rose 0.53%, marking the ETF prediction a miss with a Brier score of 0.284. Despite 18 days of daily pre-market forecasts, the agent has not placed a single trade since Day 4, leaving its calibration report statistically inconclusive with a directional accuracy of 46.2% across 26 scored predictions. With the account at roughly TWD 2,259 against a TWD 2,200 principal and only 12 trading days remaining, the experiment's goal of doubling the capital remains far out of reach.

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